Monday, May 19, 2008

Playoff Prediction Pool - Stanley Cup Final


Get your picks in!

Anyone is welcome, whether they participated in the previous rounds or not.

TO MAKE THINGS INTERESTING IN THE FINAL ROUND
20 points for correct team. 40 points for correct team and number of games. 10 points for correct number of games, but wrong team.

2 pools here:
1) Round winner
2) Overall Playoffs winner

The competitive standings are calculated below. Please notify if there are any miscalculations.

PLAYOFF SCHEDULE
STANLEY CUP FINAL - ROUND #4

My Picks (in bold):

Series A: Detroit vs Pittsburgh - 7 games

Round 3 Results:
PunjabiOil 10+20=30 (CO-WINNER)
PDO 10+20=30 (CO-WINNER)
MikeP 10+10=20
LittleFury 10+10=20
DeBakey 10+10=20
Jonathan 10+10=20
Paulus 0+20=20
YKOil 20+0=20
doritogrande 0+0=0

Round 2 Results:
JambonDan 10+20+20=50 (CO-WINNER)
MikeP 10+20+20=50 (CO-WINNER)
PunjabiOil 10+10+20=40
Paulus 20+10=30
doritogrande 10+10+10=30
Jonathan 10+10=20
LittleFury 20
Jon G 20
YKOil 10
PDO 10
DeBakey 0

Round 1 Results:
LittleFury 10+10+20+10+10+20+20=100 (WINNER)
YKOil 10+10+10+20+20+20=90
PDO 10+10+20+20+10+10=80
Mr DeBakey 10+10+10+10+10+10+20=80
JambonDan 10+10+20+10+10+20=80
doritogrande 10+10+20+10+20=70
jon 10+10+10+20+10+10=70
PunjabiOil 10+10+20+10+10+10=70
Jonathan 10+10+10+20+10=60
Paulus 10+20+10+10=50
Oilman 10+10+10+10+10=50
MikeP 10+10+10+10=40

Overall Standings after 3 of 4 rounds:
LittleFury 120+20=140
PunjabiOil 110+30=140
JambonDan 130+0=130
YKOil 100+20=120
PDO 90+30=120
MikeP 90+20=110
doritogrande 100+0=100
Mr DeBakey 80+20=100
Jonathan 80+20=100
Paulus 80+20=100
jon 70+0=70
Oilman 50+0=50
Jon G 20

Monday, May 12, 2008

Martin Erat Signed - 7 year/31M deal


Former Red Deer Rebel, and memorial cup champ in 2001, is set for life.

Dave Poile did another great job. Signed a 26 year old who gives up 6 years of unrestricted free agency, heading into the prime of his career, to a respectable 4.5M/year deal.

CAREER NUMBERS

Perhaps a bit too much today, but given free agency, age, and most importantly length of contract - I'm a fan of this deal.

Are you?

Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Detroit Red Wings - The Template of a Successful Franchise


The Detroit Red Wings have been a template of a successful NHL franchise. Dominance in the win-loss category over the past 15 years, exceptional scouting, and a strong desire by players to play for the franchise. GM Ken Holland has done a masterful job negotiating contracts. There are quite a number of players significantly overperforming their contract's cap hit.

They include:

Kronwall, Niklas (3.000)
Zetterberg, Henrik (2.650)
Holmstrom, Tomas (2.250)
Samuelsson, Mikael (1.200)
Chelios, Chris (1.150)
Franzen, Johan (0.942)
Osgood, Chris (0.850)
Filppula, Valtteri (0.733)
Cleary, Daniel (0.662)

Of course many of these players will (already have) receive(d) significant raises in their next contract, but it's remarkable how none of these players are in their entry level contracts, when the window opportunity for ''bang-for-your-buck" is at its peak. I also have confidence in Holland to replenish that talent when one of these players prices himself out of Detroit.

Players like Cleary (2.800) and Osgood (1.417), Lidstrom (7.450), Draper (1.583) have recently signed extensions at very reasonable dollars. One can argue all of these have potential for overperformance of the contract.

You can look at the entire cap list and find it difficult to locate an overpaid contract. Perhaps Hasek, but that is for only 1 year. Rafalski may slow down by the end of the contract - but we'll see. Other than that however, this is an astute job by GM Ken Holland.

What inspired me to look closely at Detroit's situation?

Recent rumblings by Robin Brownlee, who posts on the Oilersnation blog (link on right), suggest Curtis Glencross is asking in the neighborhood of $2M. Can't say I don't like the player - he provides energy, hits, and has improved his scoring touch over the past few years. Yet, Kevin Lowe must exercise skeptism in this case, given the fact Curtis boasted a 22% shooting percentage in Edmonton, wasn't a full-time NHLer in Columbus, and played very soft minutes pn the 4th line. Anywhere near the 1.5M range and the Oilers aren't getting a player who will likely overperform his contract. With this topic on the table, how do the Oilers fare in terms of getting value from their contracts?

Let's examine closely to next year's cap situation.

Overperforming Contracts
Hemsky, Ales (4.100)
Horcoff, Shawn (3.600)
Gagner, Sam (1.625) - Entry Level Contract
Cogliano, Andrew (1.133) - Entry Level Contract
Stortini, Zack (0.534) - Entry Level Contract
Brodziak, Kyle (0.497)
Garon, Mathieu (1.100)

Reasonably Performing Contracts
Pisani, Fernando (2.500)
Reasoner, Marty (~1.00) - projected in next contract
Nilsson, Robert (2.000)
Staios, Steve (2.700)
Greene, Matt (1.150)
Grebeshkov, Denis (1.500)
Smid, Ladislav (.886) - Entry Level Contract

Underperforming Contracts
Penner, Dustin (4.250)
Torres, Raffi (2.250) - Slightly
Moreau, Ethan (2.000) - Slightly even when healthy
Souray, Sheldon (5.400)
Roy, Mathieu (0.500)
Roloson, Dwayne (3.667)

*Too early to tell:
(RFA's) Pouliot, Pitkanen, Stoll.
(UFA) Glencross
*Tempted to throw Gilbert in the underperforming contract for next season

Many of the overperforming contracts come in the form of rookie contracts. Horcoff and Garon becomes less of a bargain in their next contract. Likewise, as good of a player Pitkanen is, he'll be getting reasonably paid in his next contract, and like Gilbert's contract, it will be of the ''pay for potential'' variety. On the flip side of the coin, Roloson and Roy will cease to be in the underperforming list when their contracts expire next summer. It's also probably not fair to include Penner, since it was REQUIRED to overpay to obtain him.

In Summary, Kevin Lowe has done an OK job negotiating contracts.

But, he's no Ken Holland.

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Monday, May 05, 2008

Playoff Predictions - Round 3 - Conference Finals


Get your picks in!

Anyone is welcome, whether they participated in the previous rounds or not.

10 points for correct team. 20 points for correct team and number of games. 0 points for correct number of games, but wrong team.

2 pools here:
1) Round winner
2) Overall Playoffs winner

The competitive standings are calculated below. Please notify if there are any miscalculations.

PLAYOFF SCHEDULE
CONFERENCE FINALS - ROUND #3


My Picks (in bold):

Series A: Detroit vs Dallas - 5 games

Series B: Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia - 5 games

Round 2 Results:
JambonDan 10+20+20=50 (CO-WINNER)
MikeP 10+20+20=50 (CO-WINNER)
PunjabiOil 10+10+20=40
Paulus 20+10=30
doritogrande 10+10+10=30
Jonathan 10+10=20
LittleFury 20
Jon G 20
YKOil 10
PDO 10
DeBakey 0

Round 1 Results:
LittleFury 10+10+20+10+10+20+20=100 (WINNER)
YKOil 10+10+10+20+20+20=90
PDO 10+10+20+20+10+10=80
Mr DeBakey 10+10+10+10+10+10+20=80
JambonDan 10+10+20+10+10+20=80
doritogrande 10+10+20+10+20=70
jon 10+10+10+20+10+10=70
PunjabiOil 10+10+20+10+10+10=70
Jonathan 10+10+10+20+10=60
Paulus 10+20+10+10=50
Oilman 10+10+10+10+10=50
MikeP 10+10+10+10=40

Overall Standings after 2 of 4 rounds:

JambonDan 80+50=130
LittleFury 100+20=120
PunjabiOil 70+40=110
YKOil 90+10=100
doritogrande 70+30=100
MikeP 40+50=90
PDO 80+10=90
Mr DeBakey 80+0=80
Jonathan 60+20=80
Paulus 50+30=80
jon 70+0=70
Oilman 50+0=50
Jon G 20

Saturday, May 03, 2008

Worst. Deadline Deal. EVAAARRRR.


Bob Gainey has done a lot of things well. He selected Carey Price over Gilbert Brule in 2005, a move widely criticized at that time. He also managed to pick up Guillaume Latendresse in the 2nd round that year. Selecting Ryan McDonagh, despite the pressure to pick up local boy select Angelo Esposito seems to have turned out well, at least in early stages. The move to let Souray walk, while signing Hamerlik seems to have paid dividends one year later. He did a good job assembling good young talent, enough so to lead the Habs to a Conference title in 2007-2008.

But Bob Gainey may have singlehandedly killed the Montreal Canadiens Stanley Cup push.

By trading the Habs number one goaltender, Cristobal Huet, at the trade deadline for a mere 2009 second round draft pick.

Ugly, ugly, ugly!

The deal has all the writings of a seller, not a buyer. I told my good friend then, a die-hard Habs fan, that I didn't like this deal. I don't like it now either.

One can already legitimately argue the Habs should have been more aggressive in the Marian Hossa sweepstakes, who went for 2 depth players, 1 bottom four first round draft pick, and a sinking prospect. However, other sides can legitimately counter this opinion.

I don't believe anyone can however, defend the Huet deal.

He was the Habs number one goalie, who played 39 games, posting a very respectable .916 SV%. In Washington, he posted a remarkable .936 SV% in 13 regular season games, and an .909 SV% in 7 playoff games.

EVEN if the Habs wished to throw a 20 year old Carey Price to the wolves, it would have made sense to keep the insurance policy intact.

They didn't. Jaroslav Halak is NOT a respectable insurance policy.

And now, the Habs are swimming in their own tears.

It didn't have to turn out this way.

Bob Gainey should legitimately feel the heat this summer.

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

"You know what it takes to sell real estate?"



Above: Montreal Canadiens coach Guy Carbonneau.

Facing the possibility of going down 3-1 to the Flyers tonight, Carbonneau is replacing 20 year-old wunderkind Carey Price between the pipes with backup Jaroslav Halak. This takes balls. With the deadline day deal of veteran Christobal Huet, Price was officially anointed the Habs' goalie of today. His play in helping the Canadiens to a first place finish in the East seemed to justify that decision, but Price has been erratic in the post season and downright gawdawful in two straight losses to the Flyers. Halak has played all of 6 games with the big club this year and has all of 19 minutes of playoff experience.

I like these types of high risk/high reward moves. It's not like the playoffs give struggling players (especially starting goaltenders) a lot of chances to play through a funk. And if the Habs continue to outshoot and outchance the Flyers the way they have in the last two games, then Halak will just have to be good enough.

Go Habs.

Monday, April 28, 2008

Really? No, REALLY?


Ugly.

Well, he is, and there, I said it.

What else is he though? For some, unfathomable reason, Dion Phaneuf is a Norris candidate. Why? Well, honestly, I don't know. I cannot find a single reason why he should be a Norris candidate, besides the fact that he was on the ice a lot, has a good slapshot, and is a physical hockey player.

That's it. Problem is, the all the tools in the world don't make you a Norris defenseman if you don't have the toolbox, and as was said in a Calgary Sun article, and voted on by NHL players, Dion Phaneuf is one of the most over-rated players in the NHL.

But, in fairness, lets try to first make a list of things we would expect from a Norris caliber defenseman. We would reasonably expect that he can play at both ends of the ice, and in all situations, and excel. That means EV, PK and PP. We expect that he would constantly play the other teams best players, especially at home, and out-play them. We expect he would be called "complete" and make the other players around him better, instead of victimized.

Does all of this seem reasonable so far? As far as I can tell, this is what I would expect of a Norris defenseman. A Lidstrom, Pronger, Timonen, Gonchar, etc.

Lets take a look at Phaneuf now, shall we?

5v5.

The Flames played 5 home games against San Jose, 4 against Colorado, 4 against Minnesota, 2 against Detroit, 2 against Anaheim, 2 against Dallas, and 2 against Nashville. The highest scoring player on each of these teams was: Joe Thornton, Paul Stastny, Marian Gaborik, Pavel Datsyuk, Ryan Getzlaf, Mike Ribeiro and JP Dumont.

In these 21 games*, Dion Phaneuf played a whopping 359.1 minutes, equal to 17.1 ES minutes a game. Yet, against the top scorers on each team, he played a combined, get ready for this, all of 115.1. That's not even 1/3 of his ice time. This was at home. With Keenan having last change.

Worse yet? How did he fair against these players?

+3/-9.

Lit up. Like a Christmas tree.

But hey, he had that dominating physical play right? That makes up for it? Well, sure, if you want to consider the fact that he lead the league in minor penalties with 60, and the Flames were more likely to go to the PK than the PP with Phaneuf on the ice. Did he put up some nice counting stats? Absolutely. But not against anyone whose name we know. And I'm pretty sure, that should be an important criteria when deciding if a guy is a top defenseman or not, should it not be?

I won't comment on his PP ability - I think he's one of the better triger men in the league.

However, his PK ability, another important facet of the game, is yet another problem for 'the Dion.' A quick look at behindthenet.ca shows he played a lot on the PK, about 2 and a half minutes a game, and was the third most often used defenseman in Calgary on the PK. So, he was second unit on the PK, and, once again, likely saw softer competition on the PK. So his PK numbers should rock, correct?

Well. Not really.

When Phaneuf was on the ice, the Flames were scored on about 7.15 times every 60 minutes. When Phaneuf was off the ice, the Flames were scored on about 6.13 times every 60 minutes.

In other words, when he killed penalties, the puck ended up in his net more often than when he rode the pine.

So... my question is, how on Earth is he a Norris Nominee? Anyone? Are the MSM writers really THIS dumb that they couldn't notice that A) he was being sheltered B) he got lit up when he wasn't sheltered and C) he can't play defense to save his life?

*During two of these games, one against Minny and one against Colorado, the offensive star was injured, so I took the second leading scorer in each case - Bouchard, and Brunette, for that specific game.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

What Goes Around...Comes Around


Agent Ritch Winter was on Bob Stauffer's show today. He accused Kevin Lowe as being a hypocrite with respect to his recent comments on new Canucks GM, Mike Gillis, who allegedly "screwed" the Oilers in the Michael Nylander saga.

The reasoning? Kevin Lowe pulled a similar stunt to Bryan Murray, then GM of the Anaheim ducks. Murray, Comrie, Winter had all believed a deal was complete, before Lowe came out and asked 2.5M from Mike Comrie. I recall later that day, Lowe laughed with a smirk on his face, "Well, I've always been told if I want something...I have to ask."

Hard to disagree with Ritch Winter (profile can be seen here - thanks to DSF from HF for the link).

Vancouver, Anaheim, Buffalo, Calgary, Ottawa. That's 17.25% of the league the Oilers may not be able to deal with as long as Kevin Lowe is the GM.

Will Lowe stop the bleeding? Does Winter have a legitimate point?

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Dan Blackburn


The Montreal, Quebec native was drafted 10th overall back in 2001. Voted as the CHL's top goaltender for the 2000-2001 season.

As an 18 year old, he was pressed into action due to injuries, and managed to stay on his two feet, playing 31 games and posting a .898 SV%.

Did he have a strong future ahead of him?

There are reasons to believe he would have, but unfortunately, we'll never know.

That is because he suffered a significant left shoulder injury during a weight training session. He pressed a try-out with the Victoria Salmon Kings of the ECHL - playing with two blockers instead of the conventional glove and blocker combo.

Mirtle interviewed Dan Blackburn during this stint. Dan was eager to see how it played out.

Unfortunately, he lasted only 12 games.

Where is this once promising man, now 24, today?

His current life includes a home in Dallas, a job in hockey - he's manager of business development for Goaltender Development Institute (GDIhockey.com) - and, somehow, no sorrow in his heart.


"No, it's not bittersweet," Blackburn says. "You know what? I don't really miss it anymore - it's been such a long time. It was a chapter of my life and I'm on to the next. I'm happy for all the guys that do well. It's good to see (Leclaire) having a successful year."


"I don't have any regrets at all about what transpired or the way things happened for me," says Blackburn, who played two full seasons - 2001-02, 2002-03 - for the Blueshirts. "I really enjoy what I do now in the business world."


"From my point of view, I was really fortunate, even though I was only there for a couple of years.

"It really set up the rest of my life for all the things that I want to do, from there on out."

Hurtling himself into life after hockey - buoyed by a reported $6-million insurance payout - Blackburn enrolled at Arizona State University.


He's in good shape. In good health.

And happy.

What else can you ask for?

Cheat Sheet


*Click on font to read cheat sheet material*

This is the front page of my "Cheat sheet" for a University Finance class. The flip side of the page was equally busy, with numerous examples. You have to take advantage of every opportunity you are provided.

That being said, I never understood and agreed with the logic of cheat sheet in exams - especially when you put examples that are nearly identical to the questions being asked on exams.

Of course you still have to know your material - and all members of the class are given the same opportunity to write in extremely small font - but it's also an item that provides the less prepared a marginal advantage over those who are more prepared.

And whatever happened to the conventional formula sheet? All Finance classes and nowadays, even some accounting classes, allow one the opportunity of double sided cheat sheets - is this a new trend?

Any 'old-timers' want to shed some light?

In other news, I came across this great site

http://www.sportscliche.com/

Playoff Predictions - Round 2


Anyone is welcome, whether they participated in the 1st round or not.

10 points for correct team. 20 points for correct team and number of games. 0 points for correct number of games, but wrong team.

2 pools here:
1) Round winner
2) Overall Playoffs winner

PLAYOFF SCHEDULE
CONFERENCE SEMI-FINALS - ROUND #2


My Picks (in bold):

SERIES A Montreal vs. Philadelphia - 6 games

SERIES B Pittsburgh vs. New York Rangers - 6 games.

SERIES C Detroit vs. Colorado - 6 games

SERIES D San Jose vs. Dallas - 6 games


EDIT: Changed my pick to Pittsburgh

Round 1 results:

LittleFury 10+10+20+10+10+20+20=100 (WINNER)
YKOil 10+10+10+20+20+20=90
PDO 10+10+20+20+10+10=80
Mr DeBakey 10+10+10+10+10+10+20=80
JambonDan 10+10+20+10+10+20=80
doritogrande 10+10+20+10+20=70
jon 10+10+10+20+10+10=70
PunjabiOil 10+10+20+10+10+10=70
Jonathan 10+10+10+20+10=60
Paulus 10+20+10+10=50
Oilman 10+10+10+10+10=50
MikeP 10+10+10+10=40

Monday, April 21, 2008

Jailbait!


Well. It isn't Prison. But it sure as hell can be the basement. (And, dammit, I wanted to post the pic.)

It's basically been on my mind since I read what confirmed what I'd thought, posted by Vic over at IOF. Basically... yea, the kids got a hell of a lot of results in the last few weeks of the season... but they are not exactly results that we can continue to expect as we move forward.

Kevin Lowe is faced with an interesting Summer here, no doubt about it. His team went on a fantastic stretch to end the season, largely led by the likes of Gagner and Cogliano shooting out the lights. The problem is though, they shot out the lights like they were Wayne Gretzky and Doug Gilmour. When, in reality, they're Doug Weight and Butch Goring (LT ;)). Who they are isn't as big of a deal here.... it's who they aren't. And chances are, they aren't future HHOF'ers... and even if they are, they certainly aren't right now.

So, what does Lowe do next season? Right now we have 15 forwards on the roster capable of playing in the NHL - Hemsky, Horcoff, Pisani, Torres, Stoll, Moreau, Glencross, Stortini, Pouliot, Gagner, Nilsson, Cogliano, Penner, Reasoner and Brodziak. You have to imagine all of them expect to play next season (yes, I'm aware Reasoner is a UFA, but I'd be shocked if he's not resigned). So, what happens here? Nilsson/Cogliano/Gagner are all guaranteed roster spots for various reasons, baring a blockbuster trade. It's also pretty plausible to imagine that Glencross/Brodziak/Stortini are back as the fourth line.

The thing is though. That's two lines, that a "dangerous" team wouldn't have on the ice against anyone worth talking about. We can even assume Pouliot/Reasoner are the 13th and 14th forwards... that leaves Penner - Horcoff - Hemsky as the top line and a combination of Moreau/Torres - Stoll and Pisani as the second line of heavy hitters.

So. What's Lowe to do? He is in a town that absolutely EXPECTS this team to be in the playoffs next year. He has 2 lines that he can trust.... no true dominant line to rely on (say, the Datsyuk-Zetterberg combo in Detroit. Horcoff/Hemsky is a great combo... but it's sure as hell not Datsyuk and Zetterberg), and 2 lines that will result in complete hell unleashing if he doesn't reunite them.

From my seat, I see four options.

A) Trade Cogliano + Pitkanen for a difference maker. C, RW or D.. not a big deal. But a legit difference maker. I'm talking Dany Heatley here... a guy who you can call THE guy.
B) Move a few parts for another veteran D, use the extra space to ensure Horcoff/Garon/Pitkanen are here long term, and hope like hell the kids can keep making real improvements.
C) A series of big trades, starting with Pitkanen for a forward, and ending with Torres and Stoll for a D.
D) Sit pat, hope the kids really that good and take the bait. Hope it doesn't cost you 10, because you lose the kid, or lose the vets you need around to influence and support the kid.

What would you do? Take the sexy bait, go for the pornstar, or play it slow and hope for a happy ending?

Scott Neidermayer Fined US $500,000


STORY

The National Hockey League has fined Anaheim Ducks defencemen Scott Niedermayer approximately $500,000 for missing training camp, according to a report in the New York Post.

The league has reportedly invoked an article in the CBA that states: "For each day a Player does not report to Training Camp without his Club's permission, his pay will be reduced by 1/275th of his annual . . . salary . . . ." Niedermayer will earn $6.75 million this season.

Niedermayer missed the training camp and the beginning of the season, while contemplating retirement. The 15-year veteran would eventually return to the Ducks on December 5th.

Sunday, April 20, 2008

John Short's Column on The New Arena

ARTICLE

MASSIVE EDIT: Apparently I'm the idiot who couldn't figure out it was purely sarcastic.

I exchanged an email with John Short. His response was:

Don't know anything about Brad Humphreys but I'm convinced his point of view needs to be
presented more often.
I'm not opposed to billionaires having play-toys of their own, but I am opposed to guys
and gals -- and senior citizens -- paying big tax dollars for facilities to house events
the average person can't afford to watch in person more than once or twice a week.
Interesting that there have been several e-mails already referring to my column on the
subject. Most, overwhelmingly, see the point I was making -- that Mandell and his
committee went in with an agenda. Millionaires (billionaires) almost always find a way to
get what they want and they usually find a way to have you and I pay for it in the name
of progress and civic pride.
Thanks for asking.
John


My sincere apologies to John Short.

Friday, April 18, 2008

"Don't pee on my leg and tell me it's raining!"


Miikka Kiprusoff. World Class talent.

In previous years.

He struggled this season, and was quick to sign a long term contract in October 2007. His extension kicks in as he turns 32. A 5.833M cap hit. Reasonable, and both parties bear some risk in the contract.

CONTRACT STRUCTURE

According to www.nhlscap.com
Year 1 8,500,000
Year 2 7,000,000
Year 3 7,000,000
Year 4 6,000,000
Year 5 5,000,000
Year 6 1,500,000

According to www.nhlnumbers.com
Year 1 8,000,000
Year 2 8,000,000
Year 3 8,000,000
Year 4 6,000,000
Year 5 3,500,000
Year 6 1,500,000

Front-loaded you say? No big deal. Plenty of contracts are frontloaded, including Souray and Roloson on the Oilers.

THE ISSUE
Apparently, his agent isn't exactly a bundle of smarts. He was quoted in a Finnish Newspaper:

"From what I've heard from Miikka, he sees the contract as a four to five year deal. Calgary simply wanted to divide the expenses over longer period of time"
"I Think this is Miikkas last contract. I think he has made enough money to keep his bed warm and his beers cold.


Looking at the contract structure closely, Kiprusoff is earning 33.5M over the first 5 years of the contract, close to the 7M/year price he was asking when you consider the present value effects.

So did the Flames effectively shed 1M off the cap hit, with a *nudge, nudge, wink, wink* oral agreement in a scenario where Kiprusoff retires after year 4 or 5 of the contract? Given that Miikka is under 35, the Flames do not incur a cap hit in the event he retires.

The Agent's quotations are direct and to the point. It's a situation where the Flames invade/circumvent "the spirit of the salary cap" should the agent's comments have some truth in them.

And if Miikka Kiprusoff does indeed retire before the completion of the contract, does the NHL brass come hard on them?

Given the NHL's historical reputation of an entity that is too soft and doesn't punish their offenders harsh enough, perhaps the Oiler should engage in this sort of trickery and sign Shawn Horcoff to a cap friendly 10 year deal.

In which he retires after 7.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

How Much Did the Oilers "Overpay" for Souray?


According to Robin Brownlee:

ARTICLE


Did Lowe overpay when he signed Sheldon Souray to a five-year contract for $27 million? Definitely — by as much as $1 million a season over any other offer, according to my sources.

This seems to be consistent with Souray's quote last summer:

“When Edmonton came into (talks), I honestly couldn’t believe that they’d be serious about spending that much money on a guy like me. It was a no-brainer. Everything was too good.

“It took me two minutes to say yes. I told my agent, ‘Have the papers faxed to sign before they change their mind.’ ”

Lowe must have really liked Souray or wanted a big-name UFA signed at all costs.

Or, he just has some terrible negotiation skills.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Living in the Past

Here is a collection of Journal and Sun articles, dealing with the Peter Pocklington & EIG era.

Unproductive, but informing.

Kevin Lowe (Interview In Maclean's Magazine)


November 3, 2003
INTERVIEW

Some excerpts

How much of player negotiations for you involves selling Edmonton to the players?

Overall, I think the majority of players are happy to play in Edmonton because it's hockey country. When I played in New York, hockey was probably number 4 in the pecking order of major sports. Here, hockey's the number 1 sport in this city. That can be exciting, it can be a challenge and, to some players, it can be difficult. But I think it makes everybody a better player.


Was that your pitch to Ryan Smyth?

My point in the Smyth situation was that there is a price to pay for being in a good hockey city. Economically, you're in a good position being in Alberta. Personal taxes are the lowest in Canada. The cost of living is good. The city is safe. Those things are one side of it; playing for the Oilers is another. Yes, there's a cost to playing for the Oilers, but you can't really put a number on it. Is it five per cent? Is it 10? The point is, if you want to be an Oiler, we have a standard here in terms of what we pay, and what we expect out of our players.


You've expressed frustration about how salary arbitration takes control out of your hands.

Precisely. I don't want to write everything personally, or the average NHL salary to move below $1 million. I just want everybody to take a step back and say, "Holy mackerel, you get chance to play a sport for your livelihood and get paid extreme amounts of money." Appreciate the fact that, in a few years, you can not only set yourself up for life but set up your entire extended family.


Was the Anson Carter trade one of those challenges? You must have known that fans and media would regard it as a salary dump.

Not at all. That was a big shock to me and our management group. The reaction shocked me. It was stronger than when we traded Bill Guerin to Boston. In our minds, the team was going backwards, and we needed to do something. To a certain extent it was financial, but not as much as people think.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Duhn duhn duhn...another one bites the dust.

Grebs signs.

One year deal, no numbers yet.