Thursday, July 26, 2007

Dustin Penner: Pros, Warning Bells, and Cons


As sports fans, only after the initial rush of excitement of signing a free agent or making a trade, do we have the ability to analyze the deal in a rational and objective manner.

Which brings upon, Dustin Penner.

The Edmonton Oilers are back at it again, tendering a five year, $21.5 million offer sheet to Anaheim Ducks Group II restricted free agent Dustin Penner.

STORY

PROS
- A soon-to-be 25 year old. Room to improve his game
- 6"4, 240 pounds adds elements of toughness in the lineup
- Replaces Ryan Smyth in the slot on the PP
- A "Win" now mode in the dressing room is likely to give more incentive to the guys in the dressing room to play to their fullest
- A possible sign that the Oilers (spending up to the cap) will be sold to Katz this off-season
- Possibly by years 2 or 3, he outperforms his contract

WARNING BELLS
-
1st, 2nd, 3rd, in a deep draft are valuable assets
- CAREER
Didn't put up solid numbers as a 21 year old in the NCAA, or as a 22 year old in the AHL. Not a proven commodity
- Like Joffrey Lupul, posted poor relative results 5 on 5 (-2) with sheltered minutes on a relatively strong ES team with strong ES goaltending
- Quite possibly, following the career path of Raffi Torres (3 years, 2.25M/year). Torres numbers at 24 years of age:

82 27 14 41

Are we paying 4.3M to a possible Torres, and giving up 3 draft picks in doing so?

CONS
- Slow foot-speed. Will likely be unable to keep up for Horcoff and Hemsky
- Possibility the deal is looking terrible if Penner underperforms his contract
- Unlike Lupul, his 4.3M contract, long-term, will be much harder to move via trade.

I'm not convinced this was the right move, as per my initial reaction.

Time will tell.

Friday, July 06, 2007

Leverage

http://dictionary.reference.com/search?r=2&q=leverage

lev·er·age
[lev-er-ij, lee-ver-] Pronunciation Key - Show IPA Pronunciation noun, verb, -aged, -ag·ing. –noun
1.the action of a lever.
2.the mechanical advantage or power gained by using a lever.
3.power or ability to act or to influence people, events, decisions, etc.; sway: Being the only industry in town gave the company considerable leverage in its union negotiations.
4.the use of a small initial investment, credit, or borrowed funds to gain a very high return in relation to one's investment, to control a much larger investment, or to reduce one's own liability for any loss.
–verb (used with object)
5.to exert power or influence on.
6.to provide with leverage.
7.to invest or arrange (invested funds) using leverage.

An example with leverage used in a sentence: Michael Nylander used the Edmonton Oilers as leverage for a new contract.

Leverage.

Kevin Lowe commented on how Nylander's wife freaked out, as if Edmonton is Siberia. I just have a hard time believing since the Rangers were eliminated, Michael and his wife never sat down to discuss possible destinations. I mean, they're a couple, aren't they. Don't they talk about these things?

For the record, Nylander did the Oilers a huge favor. There have been numerous players that have mentioned they love Edmonton - one doesn't, doesn't indicate the end of the city or the franchise.

The franchise will in time, when they change things/positions around, will be able to compete in the UFA market. Until then, no need for the organization to further increase the poor perception by playing the victim mentality.

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Pronger, Smyth, and Lowe

The Pronger trade is a little less forgiveable, even though the return was poor and the strategy of getting 5 assets in return was ridiculous. At least he semi-redeemed himself by getting Pitkanen. It wasn't a trade by choice, but necessity.

Smyth? Wrong on so many levels. Negotiations should have began much earlier (a la Regehr and Iginla), and you better damn well have a replacement lined up if you're going to make such a move.

Worse thing is, you then throw the SAME money to a 35 year old (Smyth would have been 36 when his contract ran out) in Nylander for four years, until he's 39. I don't see any fucking strategy in this - it has a Mike Barnett move written all over it.

Lowe says he offered Smyth a contract yesterday - perhaps, just perhaps if him, Patrick (especially), and Cal Nichols didn't take verbal swabs at him after the trade, maybe he would consider coming back. The Smyth is ''not elite'' talk on HNIC isn't going to win you back Smyth's respect.

So yeah, it's time for Lowe to go. There isn't any direction going ahead for this organization. If we're rebuilding, I don't believe it's something Lowe has willingly chosen. I like the guy, but as a GM it's time to move on. Any possible replacements outside the organization?

You look at Philly, and how quickly they turned the ship around after firing Bobby Clarke- creative thinking with acquiring rights prior to July 1, set a new trend with front loading contracts - just a good, aggressive game plan that's more action, less talk.

Sunday, July 01, 2007

Ryan Smyth

Before you all turn your back on any FORMER Oiler (Smyth), Bryan Hall style, consider this

1) He wasn't shown the same amount of respect and priority as is a guy like Iginla
2) He's always had to fight for a contract in the past
3) After not able to agree on a deal back in the summer of 2006, both Lowe and Smyth agreed to revisit negotiations in the summer of 2007. Smyth performed well, so Lowe went PUBLIC with negotiations, putting pressure on Smyth to sign. His words were, ''we've offered Smyth a substantial contract between 3 and 7 years in length.''

Smyth was disgusted by that display - and mentioned he wanted a contract done well before in the summer

5) Lowe trades Smyth for futures. The team is in a mess this off-season, and Smyth never likes losing.

6) After trading Smyth, Lowe and Laforge take some jabs at Smyth. Laforge especially (interview on CHED). Lowe comments that Smyth is not an ''elite'' player. Cal Nichols then takes a swipe at Smyth, ''100,000 isn't a big difference when you consider the Alberta Advantage''

____

So forgive the fact that Smyth didn't want to come back. Lowe and company chose not to re-sign him, and Smyth went to unrestricted free agency.

He has no obligation to sign out of the division - his only obligation is to sign where him and his family feel most comfortable. If he's such a greedy ******* people are making him to be, why did he reject Montreal's 6 year, 39M deal?

He's not the villain he's made out to be. He's a damn good person, and was a damn good citizen of Edmonton. Show the man some respect

Saturday, June 23, 2007

2007 NHL entry draft in a nutshell

Cherepanov carried some risk, but talent wise, he is top 3. With 3 first round picks, it would be a reasonable gamble to pick him at 15. For teams with only 1 pick, it was NOT AS reasonable of a risk.

Gagner, Cherepanov, and trade up to select Plante. I like that much better than

Gagner, Plante, Nash.

If you think about it, Nash and Plante have plenty of question marks surrounding themselves too. Both projected early 2nd rounders - if you're going to gamble on projects, do it right.

At the very least, Esposito was there at 15.

Bob Stauffer called it. The Oiler organization just doesn't have the guts.

A shame. Just like Lowe's undelivered promises and sinking down this once, a proud organization.

Saturday, May 26, 2007

Dubnyk


Looking sharp, big guy.

Sunday, May 20, 2007

EIG ----------> Richie Rich



http://www.theglobeandmail.com/v5/co...pdf/NHLweb.pdf

That document was obtained by some media figures in Toronto. It was leaked.

Ticket prices? 5th highest in the league. You want to know where the 21.8% increase in ticket prices is coming from? (61.14-50.20)/50.20. Simple mathematics.

Team 2006-07 2005-06
Toronto Maple Leafs 80.33 78.98
Colorado Avalanche 71.04 65.55
New York Rangers 63.53 54.19
Dallas Stars 61.43 58.37
Edmonton Oilers 61.14 50.20
Montreal Canadiens 60.82 58.74
Boston Bruins 59.71 56.61
Vancouver Canucks 58.74 56.24
Detroit Red Wings 56.95 56.72
Columbus Blue Jackets 56.07 53.77
Philadelphia Flyers 54.59 51.94
Minnesota Wild 54.54 51.18
Anaheim Ducks 52.25 49.79
San Jose Sharks 50.95 49.05
Calgary Flames 50.70 46.97
Ottawa Senators 50.38 45.30
New Jersey Devils 49.91 48.97
Los Angeles Kings 46.75 44.17
New York Islanders 45.04 46.30
Carolina Hurricanes 44.91 38.81
Tampa Bay Lightning 44.50 42.38
Phoenix Coyotes 43.60 45.66
Chicago Blackhawks 40.79 39.74
Nashville Predators 40.33 34.74
Florida Panthers 39.75 44.59
Washington Capitals 39.57 36.16
St. Louis Blues 39.50 35.23
Pittsburgh Penguins 38.62 38.05
Atlanta Thrashers 37.27 32.70
Buffalo Sabres 36.67 36.37
League average 52.13 49.31

The gate receipts info is also shown in the link

The Oilers average $1,020,499 in gate receipts (US$) per game. 8th in the league, just a little hair behind Minnesota and Colorado

Some questions to ponder
1) Do gate receipts include luxury boxes?
2) Where do the Oilers rank in terms of overall revenue?

The NHL relies heavily on gate receipts - but for other revenue, I'd imagine the Oilers at the top of the pack. TV revenue? Check - 4th highest audience in Canada behind the big 3 (TO, MTL, VAN). Based on the business boards I've been reading, only a few teams in the U.S. draw comparable numbers to the Oilers (157,000 per game). Factor in HNIC (which will provide more money next year with their new contract). Sponsorship is very likely among the leader of the pack as well.

3) The dollar is breaking records. I recall Laforge mentioning the team engages in the derivatives market to hedge the dollar. Is there a possibility the EIG will purchase longer term futures contracts? Lowers the risk - but you lose out on potential favourable exchange rate fluctuations...

Spector leaked that each playoff game earns the Oilers $2.5M before concessions and parking. I guess that is the motivation behind the said mentioned revamped budget. The EIG learned the hard way - bottom third payrolls with few overperforming contracts won't get you far. Of course talk is cheap. As far as promises go, we'd all be millionaires. Lets hope the EIG are committed towards keeping their word this year.

...and before anyone says anything, yes, the EIG should be making a profit. They've followed a good business model. But....now, circumstances have changed - there is more flexiblity. This team is no longer the poor sisters of the NHL, and the payroll should be proportionate to their revenues. It's an insult to Edmontonians at large, that the EIG went out publicaly on CHED this year and cried poor that the cap is rising -- especially when you consider the Oilers are one of the biggest contributors towards an increasing cap. It's also an insult that Patrick Laforge (in January) mentioned in the Globe and Mail that ''the team will lose money unless it makes the playoffs'' and that ''a lower cap would mean the world to us''

It sure would Patrick. It sure would.

..and to the Team 1260 members reading this thread - here's your chance to throw a few hardballs at Nichols/Laforge next time they are in studio. CHED - I'm not even going to bother with you. When Edmonton's biggest homer, Graham Hicks, goes against you in his column - it shows how low you've sunk

Cheers,

PunjabiOil

Friday, May 18, 2007

Robert Nilsson - surrounded by question marks


"He's soft." (Calgarypuck.com)

"He's a perimeter player." (Pierre McGuire)

"He's Rob Schremp part deux, minus the skating." (PunjabiOil)


Yet, despite that, he's been a PPG player in the AHL

36 9 24 33 -4 in 2005-2006
80 21 60 81 -1 in 2006-2007

The above figures includes playoffs.


He's more of a playmaker than a goalscorer.

Points however, don't tell the whole story. Will he be an effective player that will contribute to winning? Will he be at least average in his own end? Will he be effective on the PP in the NHL level.

Can he become a Gomez?

Or will his career path be similar to Valerie Bure (who also put up numbers in the AHL)?

My other question is, when was the last Oiler prospect to hit the PPG mark?

Funny thing, Martin St. Pierre is tearing it up in the AHL. He's at a 1.52 PPG mark (99 in 65). That's what happens when you penny pinch for an AHL franchise.

What to do with the Anaheim pick?



The man on the left is Brian Burke. A smart, respected, well spoken member of the hockey world. You may remember him from the 2006 Summer Oilers Mass exodus. He played a role by victimizing Kevin Lowe in the Chris Pronger deal.

Yet, victimization is not similar to robbery - and alas, Kevin has no grounds upon which to bring it into the courtroom of Judge Judy. Kevin Lowe still received some compensation for Pronger, as weak as it was.

Which brings up the subject of Anaheim's 2007 NHL entry draft 1st round draft pick. We expected it to be a bottom 5 pick, and our expecations were right. If Anaheim manages to beat Detroit, it's a minimum of the 29th overall pick. If they lose (and Ottawa also wins), slot number 27 is where the Oilers pick.


A glance at the 25-30 draft selections in the past decade from 1997-2003 that have made their mark in the NHL or that there is strong evidence to suggest they will make their mark in the near future. Note that 25-30 criteria is being used as opposed to bottom 5 draft selections for each year. I stopped at 2003 as it's too early to judge the 2004 picks.

Obviously more misses than hits (18/42 hits), but some of the players in those slots are impact. Perhaps it means nothing, or perhaps it suggests to hold on to the Anaheim pick and hope an impact player comes out of the pick
.
1997: Ben Clymer, Brenden Morrow
1998: Mike Van Ryn, Scott Gomez ,Jonathan Cheechoo, Jiri Fischer
1999: Martin Havlat
2000: Brian Sutherby, Justin Williams, Niklas Kronwall, Jeff Taffe
2001: Alexander Perezhogin , Jeff Woywitka
2002: Hannu Toivonen , Cam Ward
2003: Jeff Tambellini, Corey Perry, Patrick Eaves

If we wish to continue and make predictions, the money is on these prospects to have an NHL career

2004 - Schremp, Cory Schneider, Mike Green
2005 - Cogs, Steve Downie
2006 - Patrik Berglund, Leland Irving, Nick Foligno

Source: http://hockeydb.com/ihdb/draft/index.html

So..do we trade that pick? Will it carry value? Or should we keep it? Or should we keep it and trade the 15th overall pick? Questions, questions, questions. Lets hope in obtaining these answers, Brian Burke isn't involved in ''helping'' solve them.

Devan Dubnyk - where is his career heading?


Draft day minus 1, 2004 - Robin Brownlee was confident the Oilers would select Regina Native Devan Dubnyk. Him or Drew Stafford. After Buffalo selected Stafford at 13, the Oilers went with backup plan (pun not intended), Devan Dubnyk

Dubnyk had posted a .917 sv% in the year leading up to draft day. A big lanky guy at 6-5, and 194 pounds. Some of the Oiler nation wanted Marek Schwarz. Safe to say, Dubnyk has proven himself to be the better goaltender of the first round.

He then went on to post two consecutive years of a .912 SV%.

His .921 SV% in the ECHL was OK, although not dominant. .913 % in 6 games in the playoffs, and a .855 SV% in 4 games in the AHL.

I still think he'll be an NHL goaltender, but there are questions surrounding whether he'll ever be able to dominate. There is a possibility that he'll be a career backup

Some of the elite goalies tend to stand out

Cam Ward - .911, .920, .926 in Red Deer. .937 in 50 games as a 20 year old in the AHL
Harding - .906, .914, .927 and .920 in the WHL. .930, .922, .920 in 3 seasons in the AHL. .960 in 7 games in the NHL.
Lehtonen - .926 and .929 in the AHL

There's progression in the numbers from those guys, whereas for Dubnyk he's been pretty much at the same level.

On the other hand, I took a look at the busts category of goaltenders since 2000. Usually most of them have had a year or two of SV%'s in the 800's (AsiaOil - there's JDD for you). Names like Krahn, Chouinard, Ellis, Bacashihua, Munro, Daigneault, Crawford are goaltenders drafted in the first or second round in the past decade that seem to fit the category.

Dubnyk's lowest SV% has been .912 - and we can factor Kamloops being a poor team and spending plenty of time in the PK box. Mind you, perhaps that experience may have made him a better goalie. Look at Leland Irving - great numbers, but playing behind a very solid team who doesn't give up many good chances or shots. He went from .929SV% in the regular season to .887SV% in the playoffs.

In Summary, Dubnyk's been good - but not dominant.

I found David LeNeveu to be the best comparison for Dubnyk (and there haven't been many)

http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/p...3?pid=00062871

If Dubnyk wants to prove himself in the elite category, he'll need a season with a minimum of a .920 SV% - and upwards to .930% shouldn't be out of question. High expectation, but for a 14th overall pick and with the likes of Radulov, Zajac, Wolski, Chipchura, and Meszaros picked after him - you should be expecting big.

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Joffrey Lupul - a Contrary opinion to the Oilogosphere



It's the off-season and the guy hasn't left for Anaheim. Instead, he's in town purchasing a home at the peak of the real estate market.

Last summer, traded to Edmonton in part of the Pronger deal, the Oiler nation didn't wait long to question Joffrey's desire to play in his hometown. Fair enough - the guy didn't seem all that excited either leaving a perfect setting behind.

He was living in a great city for young players, no pressure from fans, freedom to walk around the city unrecognized - and thrived in that atmosphere.

Then he enters a fishbowl, higher expectations, less freedom, no chemistry with any linemates, missing Anaheim - it takes a toll on you. I wish for his sake he will come back and rebound - he has the natural talent - if he can translate it towards becoming an effective NHL player, he will be lethal.

Let's not forget 94 in his earlier days - it took him a while to become an effective hockey player.

Yes, his 28, 28 season last year with Anaheim in his 2nd NHL season - was OK. Not excellent 5 on 5 results, but it's progress. You can't expect all young guys to start putting up strong 5 on 5 results early on in their careers. In the playoffs he fared well -a solid +9 rating, 9G, 2A.

Other young guys that struggled this year -

Marek Svatos
Last year:61 32 18 50 0
This year:66 15 15 30 +1

Eric Staal
Last year: 82 45 55 100 -8
This year: 82 30 40 70 -6

Rick Nash
This year: 75 27 30 57 -8
Last year: 54 31 23 54 +5

NIKOLAI ZHERDEV
This year: 73 27 27 54 -13
Last year: 71 10 22 32 -19

These are just a few samples from the population

Young guys do tend to struggle - Lupul finished among the league leaders (in his 2nd NHL season) with 296 shots on goal (SOG) back in 2005-2006. Another 62 shots in 16 playoff games. This year, down to 172. Obviously something wasn't right last year - either the system or linemates or just the fact he went through a slump. He's a goal scorer, a sniper. Other than Hemsky, do we have a good set up man? Are Toby Peterson and Petr Sykora the best linemates for him?

I don't know - seems to me he has plenty of talent - the talent that rewarded him a 3 year contract.

How about this city is a bit more patient (myself included) on young players? Let's watch an Arnott develop in Edmonton instead of watching him score the GWG of a SCF.

Cheers,

Saturday, April 07, 2007

Maybe Lowe, Laforge, and Nichols and fans should look in the mirror....

Maybe Lowe, Laforge, and Nichols and fans should look in the mirror....

...regarding UFA's.

Back in the late 90's, you had guys like Cujo, Niinimaa, Weight, Guerin, Marchant who openly claimed they loved the city. Niinimaa, Weight, and Marchant cried on their first return to Edmonton. Of course money basically lead to them all leaving, but it amazes me, how the perception of the city has changed over the past year in a city that has become much bigger, has had way more entertainment options, etc. Is it cold? Yup - but that's not anything new. It's Canada - Ottawa and Calgary aren't much different.

By Weight's comment's today, even players who haven't been to Edmonton or have rarely traveled have the wrong impression of the city - and Pronger played a role.


...yet, other teams have lost star players and recover. Pronger did not create the negative perception of the city since Lowe take over. He contributed to it, but he didn't create it.

Population wise, it's not really different from Ottawa and Calgary. Entertainment wise, I don't believe it's much different from many cities in the league, including Calgary. Obviously it's no Montreal, LA, or NY, but I don't think that's the major contributing factor. If entertainment were on the top of the list, one questions what Miami and Phoenix are doing so high on that list. Ditto for the Island. The entertainment options are much more than back in the late 90's, where it wasn't an issue.

Some other factors have come to play IMO.

Lowe:
How many friends did he make around the league (with regards to players) with the Comrie mess? He smirked when asked by a reported, and remarked, ''Well, I've always been told to ask.'' (asking Comrie to repay 2.5M). Then traded him out east, while Comrie's first choice was in the west. Problem is, Anaheim offered Edmonton Andy Mcdonald, Correy Perry and a 1st. From Philly, Woywitka, 1st (Schremp) and 3rd rounder (Syrvett) were obtained.

Marchant? Mentioned Lowe was no longer in his good books after receiving a fairly low offer after a career year. I think Igor mentioned it on his blog, Lowe was telling the media during the year that he was in contact with Marchant's agent regarding a new contract - Marchant then went to the media and claimed that was an outright lie, and no negotiations were taking place

Laraque, a guy who throws F bombs regarding how much he loved the city, hasn't exactly had kind words to say about management.

People around the league talk

Laforge

He's a president - was it really necessary to take shots at Smyth? Again, people talk.

More?

Why Weight?

In all his years as captain of the Edmonton Oilers, Doug Weight never once embarrassed himself or the franchise in public.

Weight was the consummate pro, committed teammate and charitable soul in the community, like so many others who have worn the Oilers jersey and moved along to pastures which sprout more greenbacks.

He was also an elite player, so when he bid pennywise Edmonton adieu, as part of a trade we hasten to add, he was paid a ridiculous amount of money by the pound-foolish St. Louis Blues.

His departure in 2001 was one final slap in the face for small-market fans.

Some people have never gotten past that nasty bit of business, so they boo him relentlessly every time he appears on the ice at Rexall Place.

[Oilers president Patrick LaForge] chose to tell a story [at a pep rally earlier in the day] that likened Weight to a wimp, except LaForge used a far more vulgar, derogatory term to get his message across, in front of women and children, no less.

Weight was the captain, the face and the best player of your franchise for a long time, Mr. LaForge. He was as professional a captain as Wayne Gretzky, Kevin Lowe, Mark Messier, Kelly Buchberger and Craig MacTavish.

To demean him in public is bad enough.

By doing it with vulgarity you only managed to embarrass yourself, and quite likely some people in the audience. Not Weight.



Nichols
While I agree with his comments today on having taken a more firm stance due to the fact a contract was signed, implying a divorce is going to far.

..and isn't divorcing breaking a contract too?

Some Hypocrisy?

The self created impression that the ownership group is poor also doesn't do anything to help attract guys here.

Fans

Passionate fans, no doubt. Yet, there needs to be a balance. Even in a world class city like Montreal, the fans being tough like ours has adverse consequences.

The perception still exists the fans are very tough. We've had a few guys who have been booed out of town (Poti, Arnott) and other guys like Weight, who people to this day hold a grudge against by booing him every time he touches the puck.

Lupul mentioned that talking to the guys around the league, he was scared to come here feeling the fans were too tough on the players. He did admit though, that hasn't been the case, and fans have been supportive. Yet, this does shed some light regarding perception around the league.

Comrie is another example. Like mentioned, players in the league talk.

...and how the heck is talk around the city that player X cheated on Player Y's wife (Comrie) or Reporter X(Chorley) help the situation at all?

Case can argued the fans were not as tough in the Sather days, because the expectations were lower...
___________

While many of the current players have openly claimed they love playing here, the issue is brining outsiders to come here.

Why would someone who has zero affiliation with Western Canada, play for less or equal money, with a weak corporate culture and hostile environment?

Basically, Lowe and Laforge, and to a lesser extent, the fans have some blame to play in this perceived notation that nobody (in terms of higher end talent) wants to play here.

_______

Of course in the end, money will talk. Once you get elite talent to come and stay here, it will get the ball rolling....in other words, there really shouldn't be any excuse for the team to not progress this summer.

...but just saying, using the city as a cop-out for not attracting UFA's (the upper end ones) doesn't tell the true story.

Sunday, April 01, 2007

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Update on the possible new arena

Paula Simons
The Edmonton Journal

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

A new downtown hockey arena. That's the blue-sky proposal that's been quietly floating around the city, sponsored by some discreet local business interests.

Right now, it's just an artist's conception, an intriguing daydream.

Still, it's a great jumping-off point for a larger debate on the future of the downtown and the future of the Edmonton Oilers.

The proposal is to replace the aging downtown post office with a grand new arena and entertainment centre.

The plan's backers, who wish to remain anonymous, even hired an architect to create a design that tops the rink with a dramatic glass pyramid, a quotation of the Muttart Conservatory and City Hall.

Such a development could kick-start the development of the largely vacant railway land north of City Hall, behind the CN Tower, filling the barren strip between 101st Street and 97th Street, with hotels, condos, offices and shops.

It would be great to see sports fans flooding into the downtown, spending money in downtown restaurants, bars and hotels, celebrating in Churchill Square, bringing life to the city core.

A state-of-the-art arena could also be a fine concert site, a fit neighbour for the Winspear Centre, the Citadel Theatre, and the Art Gallery of Alberta.

It could be good news for public transit, too. When the city first built the LRT, it roughed in a "future station" in the area, which never got built. A downtown arena could spur construction of that station -- and of a western LRT line, down 105th Avenue.

But attractive though this proposal is, it's no open-net goal.

For starters, Canada Post isn't selling, not now.

Although it moved its main letter-sorting facility to the west end about six years ago, it still uses the downtown site for administrative offices and customer mail services. Canada Post says it has no plans to move.

Then there's the issue of whether an arena really does revitalize a downtown. Much of the time, a hockey arena is closed and dark, especially in the daytime. Arenas aren't such pedestrian-friendly buildings. At their worst, they're fortresses, surrounded by parking lots.

You need only look around Rexall Place and Commonwealth Stadium to see that sports complexes don't always attract upscale bars, restaurants or hotels.

Finally, there's the question of when, where and whether the Oilers want to move. Rexall Place, which opened in 1974, is still a functional facility. But it's the third-oldest arena in the NHL, and one of the smallest. Nor does it have the kind of VIP amenities new arenas offer their corporate customers.

Still, the Oilers have more than seven years remaining on their existing lease with Northlands. And they are Rexall Place's anchor tenant. Cal Nichols chairs the Edmonton Investors Group, the local business people who collectively own the Oilers. Proponents of the downtown arena have already met with him.

"Of course, I've seen all the plans. But it's mostly doodling right now," he says.

Nichols isn't opposed to a downtown arena. Most new sports facilities across North America, he says, are right downtown, often connected to hotels, convention centres or office towers. And yes, he sees a need for a new arena.

"We're playing in the big leagues and we have to provide what customers expect of a big-league team," he says.

But a new arena on Northlands property would be another option. Nor does Nichols rule out a massive upgrade to the existing rink. There are certainly pluses to a Northlands site, not least of which are the existing LRT station, the room for parking and Northlands' own proximity to downtown. Nichols wants a thorough public discussion about any new arena, one that takes into account the interests of all of Edmonton.

"This is bigger than the Oilers," he says. "It's about the entire community and its needs. We have to do, not what's right for the Oilers or Northlands or the downtown, but for the city."

"Big ideas like this, you don't get too many shots at them," adds Oilers CEO Patrick LaForge. "You need to get a lot of people around the city to talk about something like this. It's not about a building, it's about a city. That's what makes it a challenging debate."

And perhaps that's the greatest value in this downtown arena proposal -- the debate it provokes. We may not need a new arena right now. But now is the time to start planning.

How do we keep a beloved small-market sports team economically competitive, while leveraging that team as an engine for smart urban development?

If we do want a new arena downtown, how do we site and design it, so it promotes vibrant street life?

And how do we pay for any new arena? The Oilers had a great financial year thanks to the new league salary structure and the Stanley Cup run. Last week, Forbes Magazine reported the team had an operating income of $10.7 million US last year, the fourth-highest in the league. Forbes estimates the team's value has gone up 40 per cent in the last two years; the magazine says the Oilers now have the fifth-best debt-to-value ratio in the NHL. Still, compared to big-city teams with big-city revenues, the frugal Oilers are in no position to build the kind of top-of-the-line arena that might come with a $250-million or $300-million price tag. How do we get the right mix of private investment and government support to make such a dream a reality? LaForge is so right. A city doesn't get many opportunities for urban renewal like this. Let's start talking now about how to make the most of it. Thirty-six years ago, Edmontonians debated and rejected the idea of a similar downtown facility called the Omniplex. Is it time to resurrect a little Omniplex spirit? Only Edmontonians can say.

psimons@thejournal.canwest.com

Sunday, October 29, 2006

The Esks a disgrace to the City of Edmonton

It was bad enough the Esks got greedy, and sold the team for the high price tag. Never mind community ownership [City of Moose Jaw and Prince Albert refused to sell their team to the Oilers in the WHL despite being offered 5M - plenty of goodwill coming from the Oilers]

Of course the Esks used some of that money to support high salaries of guys like Ricky Ray, Davis Sanchez, Kelly Wiltshire, Joe Montford, and other guys they acquired during that off-season. '

"PCL may have not liked the situation, but they could not legally force the Trappers to move. Travel was not as huge as people made it to be. There are plenty of teams along the pacific coast the Trappers played against. Meanwhile, nobody in New Orleans is complaining about their PCL team's traveling.

The Esks are fully to blame why Edmonton has a lower class ball league team right now. How have the Crackercats done anyways? Did they get any press?

But now?

http://www.edmontonsun.com/Sports/Es...65356-sun.html

Plans to replace the natural grass with field turf.

Since when has Commonwealth been owned by the Eskimos?

Now they can punt away annual rugby touraments, as well as
jeopordizing Edmonton's chances to ever host international soccer matches and tournaments
(Team Canada men's and women's, Women's 2011 World Cup, annual international friendlies, u19, women's, World cup qualifying matches) again. FIFA approves field turf, but they don't encourage it. I doubt Edmonton lands soccer games here if they convert to field turf. But yeah, let's spend 6-7M on changing the seat colours. Great management

Taken from another board:
"FIFA (and I'm sure the IRU has a similar rule for rugby) has a rule that no official matches can be played on a field with markings for other sports, or something like that. If we were to get FieldTurf, the football markings would be stitched in - thus preventing Edmonton from hosting ANY of these games (wouldn't be worth the hassle to unstitch everything just for one game or one day)."

The Lowe down

It's never to early to think about the future. The future being, July 2007.

Sykora's contract ends. So does Smyth's. Ditto for Tjarnqvist and Staios

Fact: We're not going to be able to sign all these guys.

Unload one of the larger salaries if possible (Pisani, Moreau), and re-sign Sykora for a slight raise 3.3-3.5M for a 3-4 year deal.

I like Pisani and all, but I cannot emphasize enough what a stupid contract that was. He's simply not a 2.5M player. Worse thing, is it's a 4 years in length.

People will argue that we would not have made the cup if not for Pisani, so re-signing him at 1.1M in January would have been a mistake, as he would lost the motivation.

My response: If a guy can only get motivated by money, then you don't keep him on the team, or you try to find other ways to motivate him....and what exactly is Pisani's motivation right now?

If that were the case,shouldn't the Oilers be signing everyone to 1 year deals?

I stand by my opinion that it was a brutal contract that will hurt chances to sign other guys, unless traded.

Hey, one bad contract isn't the end of the world. Multiple bad contracts collectively hurts a team financially.

Moreau's contract was pretty bad as well, although not to the same extent as you know he's a tough as nails type of guy who will take any pain to help the team win hockey games.

Hopefully Lowe doesn't get strike 3 with Staios. Rumours are going on a 3 or 4 year deal is in the works.

Nothing more than 2 years IMO is appropriate at 2.5M. There won't be teams lining up to sign him at 3.0M so it makes little sense for paying him a premium at this point.

Why should the Oilers give in for Staios's wants?

Lowe should do what is in the best interests of the organization.

Or let him test UFA. Just because he gets there,doesn't mean he will get the 2.5-3.0M.

Guys like Samsanov, Dvorak, Peca didn't get as much as they anticipated (and short term deals as well).

There is a cap in the new NHL. Teams just won't be able to throw money (see JP Dumont). It's a zero sum game. If someone wants to take on a bad contract on Staios, let them.

I'd really want Lowe to show some guts this time around. He has yet to go to arbitration with a player, and not let a player he wanted back (other than Spacek) to test UFA markets...the premium paid for signing a player prior to July 1 can be excessive.

Lowe missed the boat with poor contracts in the past (Cross, Conklin, Cleary, etc.) Let's hope it's not the same old song this time around.

You have to have a good balance. You should not always give in to the players wants, especially if these said guys can be replaced for much less. Guys like Dean McCammond, Radek Dvorak, etc are all solid bottom 6 players that can be signed for dirt cheap on the UFA market.

Guys like Sykora, Smyth, cannot.

Potential UFA's will go. In our case, we'd lose our leading point scorer on the team because of the poor contracts given to guys like Pisani, Moreau, and possibly Staios.

Or worse, we'll lose the heart of the team in Ryan Smyth.

Then again, who am I to complain about giving 32 year old's 3 or 4 year deals, with decent prospects (Gilbert, Chorney, Peckham, etc) coming up.

Mind you, Lowe should be given some well deserved credit.

The Pronger deal was robbery. Spacek deal was decent.

Peca deal was a gamble, but paid off in the playoffs.

Roloson trade was solid.

The rental deals were probably only to make the playoffs, as this team was just fighting to make the playoffs. Missing the playoffs last year would hurt the team's bottom line in the future (missing playoffs for 2 years in a row). The Cup was not expected, but Lowe did his job in making the playoffs.

I'm just not willing to call him a genius that some people seem to think he is. The objective view is that this team barely made the playoffs last year, until the 81st game. Missed them 2 out of the 3 previous years. Lowe has made a couple of poor moves IMO that will hurt us next summer. So is it wrong to show concern if he's about to make another likely poor move giving Staios the rumoured 3-4 year deal? at over 2.5M?

Sunday, October 15, 2006

Game 4 thoughts: Colorado


4-3 win.

1) Tjarnqvist has been a great surprise. 27:36 ice time, +2, excellent on the PK.

2) http://www.nhl.com/scores/htmlreport...7/ES020070.HTM

The third line has to step it up.

Moreau, Stoll both -2 (although Moreau played well).

When's Reasoner going to be promoted?

3) Brad Winchester tracker: 1:58 ice time. I really hope Mikhnov breaks in the lineup soon

4) One extra save per game? A little more than that tonight. Give me more of these, "over the hill, 37 year old career backups" anyday.

5) Hemsky was probably the best offensive player out there. Really liked the way he drove to the net in the first period, going one on one. Didn't score, but good to know he didn't circle at the perimeter. Nice assist on Sykora's goal

6) Smid is playing well. MacT trusted him in the final 5 minutes on the ice. Finished with 15 minutes, and an E rating

7) When does Markannen draw in? Hopefully Monday. I'm going to the Tuesday game.

Add your own thoughts/assertions

Thursday, October 12, 2006

Post game thoughts: Game 3, San Jose


The team really loves to tease their fans, don't they? 6-4 win.

Let's roll:

1) The team didn't play all that bad in the first two periods. Shots explain it all.

2) Thornton = MVP. What a difference he has been to the San Jose sharks. Conversely, Nabakov has always been an overrated goalie who can't put it together.

3) Pisani should step up his play. He'll come around, he always starts slow

4) I'd like to see Reasoner take the 3rd line center spot. He played on the 3rd line a few shifts, and I'd just feel more comfortable 5 on 5 (hence, a true shutdown line) with him there with Moreau and Pisani. Of course that means Stoll drops down to the 4th line - but what can you do? The goal is to win hockey games, not design roster spots based on salary. He was also the only guy to finish with a minus rating

5) Defence played well, but were running around too much. Smith needs to step it up. Greene is developing soundly (+2 today). Smid played nearly 15 minutes, while going +2.

6) Disclipine. Correct it MacT.

7) Hemsky - drive to the net you pansy. Had a semi-breakaway, and always circles at the perimeter. Heck of a player though. The type of guy that still ends up on the scoresheet, and a plus 2 rating despite somewhat of a poor game

8) Winchester - baby steps. 3:01 ice time today, +1

9) shift chart

http://www.nhl.com/scores/htmlreport...7/ES020053.HTM

10) Example of inferiority complex

http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthread.php?t=31448

11) Does anything really be need to said re: Smyth?

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Heartland of hockey


37 Edmonton and metro area players currently play in the NHL. Take off Shawn Belle, S. Neidermayer, and Rene Borque off that list, leaves with a respectable 34.

Hockey mad city indeed

Current Edmonton's metro area players

NIEDERMAYER, SCOTT (D) (although raised in BC)

GEOFF SANDERSON (LW) (born in NWT, raised in Edmonton)

SHAWN BELLE (D)

FERENCE, ANDREW (D)

IGINLA, JAROME (R)

LANGKOW, DAYMOND (C)

LUNDMARK, JAMIE (C)

MCLENNAN, JAMIE (G)

PHANEUF, DION (D)

COMMODORE, MIKE (D)

WARD, CAM (G) (born in Saskatoon, raised in Edmonton)

WHITNEY, RAY (L)

BOURQUE, RENE (L) - born, but raised in La La Biche, Alberta

KEITH, MATT (R)

CHIMERA, JASON (L)

GOERTZEN, STEVEN (R)

SYDOR, DARRYL (D)

BARNES, STU (C)

LUPUL, JOFFREY (R)

PISANI, FERNANDO (R)

BOUWMEESTER, JAY (D)

SOURAY, SHELDON (D)

FIDDLER, VERNON (C)

NICHOL, SCOTT (C)

MATVICHUK, RICHARD (D)

BETTS, BLAIR (C)

COMRIE, MIKE (C)

MORRIS, DEREK (D)

NASH, TYSON (L)

REINPRECHT, STEVEN (C)

CHRISTENSEN, ERIK (C)

SMITH, MARK (C)

STEVENSON, GRANT (C)

ONDRUS, BENJAMIN (R)

SMITH, NATHAN (C)

PETTINGER, MATT (L)

SUTHERBY, BRIAN (C)

Friday, October 06, 2006

Game 1: Edmonton 3, Calgary 1


1) Our "37 year old career backup" seems to still have it....

2) Hemsky - seems to have matured this year

3) Sykora - Liked this signing from the get-go. I retract my comments on calling out Lowe for not signing a more expensive Samsanov.

4) I think the defence will be fine. MAB looked great out there. I was most pleased with Matt Greene - solid passing, hard working, error-free hockey. Smid had a nice NHL debut. Staios broke up a few nice plays.

5) I love the fact our PP changed to 4 and 5 forwards

6) Smyth had a quiet night. He'll rebound. That's the luxery of having 4 solid lines - if a line can't get it going, there's depth

7) Was Stoll playing the tough minutes today? That line fared pretty well.

8) Thorenson is a great story - working his way on to the team. He had a solid debut.

9) On the other hand, Kiprusoft kept it from being a 5-1 game.

10) A 2 game mini-series would shut up some of the clowns at Calgarypuck. Good grief, read some of those comments and excuses in their game thread.